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PFT NFL Divisional Round Picks

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We started the super wildcard round in a not-so-super fashion, going 4-2 apiece. This week there are four games to go, and picking the winners is no easier.

Divisional round picks appear below. As you’ll see, MDS has picked two of the underdogs to cover. I chose one to cover and one to win.

Either way, this weekend’s games should be great.

Jaguars (+8.5) on Chiefs

MDS opinion: The Jaguars already being in the divisional round in Doug Pederson’s junior year and Trevor Lawrence’s sophomore year is a huge sign of where this team is headed. But they’re still not at the level of the team that Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have in Kansas City. This is where the Jaguars’ impressive season comes to an end.

choice of MDS: Chiefs 30, Jaguars 20.

florio’s take: The Chiefs are on high alert. I won’t be surprised if the Jaguars win the game. They’re loose. They have nothing to lose. The Chiefs may be looking past the Jaguars, with a much-anticipated Bills rematch looming. But ultimately, I have faith that Patrick Mahomes will find a way forward. Even if it’s not as easy as people think it will be.

florio’s choice: Chiefs 30, Jaguars 27.

Giants (+7.5) at Eagles

MDS opinion: Brian Daboll has done an incredible job getting Daniel Jones to the point where he can have a playoff game like last week against the Vikings. This week, against a much better Eagles defense, I find it hard to believe Jones can do it again. Jalen Hurts will put a lot of points on the scoreboard for Philadelphia, and Jones and the Giants won’t be able to keep up.

choice of MDS: Eagles 31, Giants 17.

florio’s take: It happened in 2008 when the Eagles beat the Giants. It happened in 2007 when the Giants beat the Eagles. And it could happen again, with the Giants getting their revenge, 15 years later. The Giants are gaining strength, improving at just the right time. The Eagles have been wobbly these past few weeks. Daniel Jones and Dexter Lawrence became superstars before our very eyes. Saquon Barkley is running stronger than ever. Isaiah Hodgins is the guy opposing defenses refuse to take seriously. Brian Daboll surpassed Kevin O’Connell last week and may be ready to surpass Nick Sirianni. It won’t be easy, but nothing has been easy for the Giants this year. Expect a Saturday night derby, which the Giants might actually win.

florio’s choice: Giants 24, Eagles 23.

Bengals (+5.5) at Bills

MDS opinion: Both the Bengals and Bills struggled to beat defeated opponents this past weekend, but I expect a close game between them on Sunday. Josh Allen will make one more big play than Joe Burrow in the fourth quarter, and that will be the difference.

choice of MDS: Bills 24, Bengals 20.

florio’s take: Bengals are salty about many things. And that could be enough to fuel a second annual divisional round win. But the Bills will get a big boost with a pregame appearance from Damar Hamlin (if that happens), and quarterback Josh Allen will return to the AFC Championship. It would help if someone other than receiver Stefon Diggs stepped forward as well.

florio’s choice: Bills 31, Bengals 24.

Cowboys (+4) at 49ers

MDS opinion: After watching the Cowboys dominate the Buccaneers on Monday night, I’m tempted to pick up an upset here. But I think Brock Purdy will do just enough to keep the 49ers offense moving, and the 49ers defense will force Dak Prescott to a few turnovers to win a low-scoring game.

choice of MDS: 49ers 17, Cowboys 16.

florio’s take: The 49ers have a collection of tough guys who can roll out of bed and run through a brick wall. And even though coach Kyle Shanahan downplayed it, he knows having two extra days makes a world of difference, especially with Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn interviewing for the Broncos job when he should have been preparing to crack the code. from Shanahan and not having your own code cracked.

florio’s choice: 49ers 24, Cowboys 17.