Half of the 14 playoff berths are clinched after the first game of Week 16. Here’s where the NFL playoff picture is after the Jaguars’ 19-3 win over the Jets on Thursday night. The listed odds for making the playoffs, securing the No. 1 ranking, and winning the Super Bowl are all via the athleticNFL betting template, created by Austin Mock. The projected playoff odds have been adjusted to account for possible Week 18 rest scenarios and injuries to quarterbacks Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson and Ryan Tannehill.
AFC Playoff Image
| Seed | Team | Record | Result of week 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
11-3 |
at CHI |
|
|
a-2 |
11-3 |
vs SEA |
|
|
x-3 |
10-4 |
in the NE |
|
|
4 |
7-7 |
against HOU |
|
|
5 |
9-5 |
against ATL |
|
|
6 |
8-6 |
in the IND |
|
|
7 |
8-6 |
against GB |
x — Guaranteed playoff berth | y – division title won
buffalo bills
With a three-game lead in the AFC East, the Bills can clinch their third straight division title with a win or tie against the Bears on Saturday or a loss or tie for the Dolphins against the Packers on Sunday.
Remaining hours: on the Bears, on the Bengals, against the Patriots
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 60.1 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 14.2 percent
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs clinched their seventh straight AFC West title in Week 15, so the pursuit of No. 1 is all they have left. After losing head-to-heads against the Bills and Bengals, the Chiefs will need to finish with a better record than both teams to secure a first-round bye and home field advantage during the conference championship round.
Remaining hours: against Seahawks, against Broncos, on Raiders
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 36.2 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 12.8 percent
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Cincinnati Bengals
The Jets’ loss to the Jaguars on Thursday clinched a playoff berth for the Bengals. Cincinnati made back-to-back playoff appearances for the last time during their five years from 2011-2015. Our model gives the Bengals a 68.5% chance of winning the AFC North.
Remaining hours: on Patriots, against Bills, against Ravens
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 3.7 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 6.3 percent
Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars’ victory on Thursday night puts more pressure on the Titans, who have lost four straight, will “probably” be without Ryan Tannehill for the rest of the season and are now just half a game clear in the AFC South standings. from Tennessee’s Week 16 game against the Texans.
The Jaguars won the first head-to-head with the Titans. The second head-to-head – in Jacksonville in Week 18 – is shaping up to be a winner-take-all matchup, as long as the Jaguars post an identical or better record than the Titans over the next two weeks.
If the Titans enter Week 18 one game ahead of the Jaguars, a Jacksonville victory at the end of the regular season would match the two teams’ overall records and give the Jaguars the head-to-head tiebreaker.
If the Jaguars enter Week 18 one game ahead of the Titans, a Tennessee win would give the Titans the division based on a superior divisional record as both teams enter the regular season finale 3-2 against the AFC South in this scenario. Like the Titans, the Jaguars have one more game against the Texans scheduled.
Our model gives Tennessee a 46.3% chance of winning the AFC South for the third consecutive year.
Remaining hours: vs Texans, vs Cowboys, at Jaguars
Chances: To make the playoffs: 47.7 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 1.6 percent
baltimore ravens
O crows can clinch a playoff berth this weekend with any of five scenarios involving their win or tie and up to seven other teams win, lose or tie. There is even a scenario that places Baltimore regardless of the outcome if the Patriots lose, which brownraiders and Titans lose or tie, and the Chargers win.
But how the athleticin Jeff Zrebiec writes, it will be difficult to consider the Ravens a serious contender come playoff time without a version of Lamar Jackson who can put this team on its back. The quarterback will miss his third consecutive game with a knee injury.
Remaining hours: vs Falcons, vs Steelers, in Bengals
Chances: To make the playoffs: 96.7 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.5 percent
Los Angeles Chargers
O porters secure a playoff berth with a win in Indianapolis on Monday and a combination of losses or ties for invaders🇧🇷 patriotsjets and/or dolphins🇧🇷 According to our model, they face the seventh easiest remaining schedule, starting with a trip to Indianapolis to take on a Colts team starting quarterback Nick Foles for the first time this weekend.
The Chargers hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Dolphins and have a better conference record (6-4) than some teams with seven wins: the Patriots (5-4) and the Jets (5-6). The Jaguars are also 6-4 against the AFC after Thursday night’s victory.
Remaining hours: in Colts, against Rams, in Broncos
Chances: To make the playoffs: 85.8 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.7 percent
Miami Dolphins
Losing three games in a row, the Dolphins cannot secure a playoff berth this weekend. Their upcoming games against the Patriots and Jets are potentially high leverage as both teams trail them in the standings.
Remaining hours: against Packers, at Patriots, against Jets
Chances: To make the playoffs: 82.5 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 4.2 percent
on the hunt
- Patriots (7-7) | Odds of making the playoffs: 23.0 percent
- Jets (7-8) | 5.4 percent
- Jaguars (7-8) | 54.9 percent
- Brown (6-8) | < 1.0 percent
- Steelers (6-8) | < 1.0 percent
- Raiders (6-8) | 3.0 percent
deleted
- Broncos (4-10)
- Colts (4-9-1)
- Texans (1-12-1)
NFC Playoff Image
| Seed | Team | Record | Result of week 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
13-1 |
on DAL |
|
|
a-2 |
11-3 |
against NYG |
|
|
a-3 |
10-4 |
vs. IT WAS |
|
|
4 |
6-8 |
in the ARI |
|
|
x-5 |
10-4 |
vs. PHI |
|
|
6 |
8-5-1 |
in MIN |
|
|
7 |
7-6-1 |
in SF |
x — Guaranteed playoff berth | y – division title won
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles, who will be without Jalen Hurts this weekend, secured their playoff ticket in Week 14 but still haven’t officially clinched the NFC East or secured the No. 1 ranking. Here’s how they can do both in Week 16:
- Win the NFC East with a win or tie against the Cowboys
- Achieve a #1 ranking with a win against the Cowboys or a tie against the Cowboys and a Vikings loss or tie against the Giants
Remaining hours: on the Cowboys, vs. Saints vs. giants
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 95.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 16.5 percent
Minnesota Vikings
Even if the Vikings lose, they cannot finish worse than third place. They can thank the sad state of the NFC South for that.
According to our model, Minnesota has the sixth easiest remaining schedule.
Remaining hours: against Giants, at Packers, at Bears
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 1.5 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 9.0 percent
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers recognize that their chances of securing the No. 1 ranking are slim, but San Francisco made it clear this week that they are shooting to win and leapfrog the Vikings for No. 2 ranking.
Remaining hours: vs. Commanders, in Raiders, vs. Cardinals
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 1.7 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 7.2 percent
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs remain 6-8 one game ahead of the other three teams in their division, all 5-9. Surprisingly, the Panthers are in control of their own destiny as they won their first game against the Bucs. The second comes in Tampa in Week 17. Our model gives Carolina a 10.4% chance of winning the NFC South, compared to the Bucs’ 83.7%.
Remaining hours: at Cardinals, against Panthers, at Falcons
Chances: To make the playoffs: 83.8 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.3 percent
dallas cowboys
The Cowboys clinched a playoff berth last week when the Giants beat the Commanders, but according to our model, Dallas only has a 3.6% chance of winning the NFC East and a 1.8% chance of securing first place. place.
Remaining hours: vs. Eagles, on Titans, on Commanders
Chances: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To win bye: 1.8 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 5.1 percent
New York Giants
The Giants could clinch their first playoff berth since 2016 this weekend with a win against the Vikings and a combination of losses to the Commanders, Lions and Seahawks. Just a victory in Minnesota would increase the Giants’ playoff chances to over 90%.
Remaining hours: on the Vikings, against the Colts, on the Eagles
Chances: To make the playoffs: 80.1 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 2.9 percent
GO DEEPER
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Washington commanders
Washington ceded a huge playoff lead by losing to the Giants last week. The Commanders are a seven-point underdog heading into their road showdown against the 49ers.
Remaining hours: on 49ers, against Browns, against Cowboys
Chances: To make the playoffs: 37.6 percent | To win bye: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 1.8 percent
on the hunt
- Seahawks (7-7) | Chances of making the playoffs: 18.1%
- Lions (7-7) | 57.1 percent
- Packers (6-8) | 6.9 percent
- Panthers (5-9) | 10.4 percent
- Falcons (5-9) | 3.0 percent
- Saints (5-9) | 3.1 percent
deleted
- Bears (3-11)
- Cardinals (4-10)
- Sheep (4-10)
(Photo: Vincent Carchietta/USA Today)
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