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Josh Jacobs in trouble to succeed

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Editor’s Note: The players listed below have been valued contributors in virtually every Yahoo Fantasy league. That said, this column is not an endorsement to bench them in Week 17. You are in control of your list; each alloy size and shape is different. What we are trying to explain is that expectations should be reduced this week compared to usual for a few gamers that helped many make it to the fantasy title games.

Jacobs has been arguably the fantasy MVP this year, but he has a few hurdles to overcome in Week 17. He pulls off a 49ers defense allowing by far the fewest fantasy points for running backs, YPC (3.3) and yards per game in road this season. No running back hit 60 yards rushing against San Francisco. The 49ers rank No. 1 in DVOA run defense and Javon Kinlaw just recently returned last week.

derek carr being banned for financial reasons could be even more troubling for Jacobs’ fantasy value this week. Carr threw a lot of interceptions, but has the Raiders in the top 10 in yards per game this season; instead it will be Jarrett Stidham making his first career start on New Year’s Day. Stidham looked bad as he got 5.6 YPA with a 2:4 TD:INT ratio during his brief NFL action and will likely be a significant demotion. It can’t be an ideal locker room situation either, and Jacobs looks ready to move on already. The Raiders’ team implied total dropped to second lowest for the week with the QB change. Through no fault of his own, Jacobs is in an incredibly difficult position in the fantasy league.

Josh Jacobs has been a fantasy star but may struggle to deliver in Week 17. (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)

Josh Jacobs has been a fantasy star but may struggle to deliver in Week 17. (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)

McLaurin’s target rate drops from 29% with taylor heinicke dropped to 14% with Carson Wentzand his yards per route run take an equally significant hit. The Browns allow the eighth fewest fantasy points for wide receivers, thanks in part to opponents boasting the second lowest passing rate when taking on Cleveland away from home. With Brian Robinson in a crushing place and Deshaun Watson likely to struggle against a strong Washington defense, the game’s script shouldn’t require much passing from the commanders.

Jahan Dotson quickly emerged as an alpha, and Wentz already failed to hit McLaurin correctlyso watch out for terry this week.

Smith scored just 5.4 YPA in consecutive games and fell back to earth, ranking 21st in EPA/dropback since Week 10 (h/t Matt Harmon). He gets tough defense from the Jets this week, allowing the fewest yards per game (4.8) and 13 passing touchdowns in the NFL this season. mike whitethe return of can help the game script, but Tyler Lockett, Marchioness Goodwin, will dissly and Noah Fant are all damaged to varying degrees (Smith would receive an additional demotion should Lockett sit back down). The Jets’ secondary has given up the second fewest fantasy points to wide receivers and has become even more dominant lately, as no WR has scored a touchdown against them in their last three games (when they’ve faced josh allen, Jared Goff and Trevor Lawrence).

Also for what it’s worth (maybe nothing!), Smith has scored a 9.7 YPA, averaging 2.7 touchdowns indoors this season and 7.1 YPA/1.7 TDs outdoors. Either way, Smith’s comeback story will likely hit another snag this week against a rising Jets defense, making options like Gardner Minshew, Aaron Rodgers and Brock Purdy viable alternatives in your fantasy league.

[Week 17 Fantasy Rankings: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | FLEX | DST | Kickers]

Dobbins’ division loads almost evenly (12-11) with Gus Edwards last week and didn’t see a carry in the fourth quarter. Dobbins is rarely targeted (he’s had a grip since Week 4), recently admitted his left leg remains “falling behind” after surgery and is further impaired by Tyler Huntley limiting Baltimore’s offense. Huntley was a big downgrade from Lamar Jacksonand Sunday night he will face a Pittsburgh defense that is especially difficult when TJ Watt It’s healthy. The Steelers surrendered just 4.0 YPC and second fewest touchdowns (seven) this season.

Dobbins has not had more than 15 carries in any game of his career, and he will be sharing the defensive workload on a Baltimore offense with one of the week’s lowest implied team totals. To start Tyler Allgeier, D’Andre Swift or AJ Dillon rather than.

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